June 14, 2013
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Maguire | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 003 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +44 |
Mitch Clarke overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (3 vs 5 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Maguire.
| Metric | John Maguire | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Maguire | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 996 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -54 | +54 |
Mitch Clarke earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Maguire | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 15 | 41 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 41 | 105 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 66 | 118 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 942 | 930 |
| ELO Change | -58 | +58 |
Mitch Clarke dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 66 total strikes, 41 vs 15 significant strikes. Mitch Clarke capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Maguire | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:51 | 2:27 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 057 | 888 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Mitch Clarke did not secure a significant ground advantage against John Maguire on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:27 of control time, 4 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | John Maguire | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 210 | 329 |
| Activity ELO | 1 008 | 983 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Mitch Clarke demonstrated standard activity with 329 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Mitch Clarke capitalized on this activity level, while John Maguire's 210-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Maguire | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 989 | 985 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Mitch Clarke started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Maguire is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Maguire | Mitch Clarke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 982 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.