April 29, 2011
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Makdessi | Kyle Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 087 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -19 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Kyle Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 041 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Kyle Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 1:27 | 1:27 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 123 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +85 | -42 |
John Makdessi gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 3, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Kyle Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 50 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 141 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 166 | 943 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -94 |
John Makdessi controlled the striking exchanges with 55 vs 25 total strikes, 50 vs 25 significant strikes, 51.0% vs 17.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. John Makdessi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Kyle Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:01 | 0:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 057 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Kyle Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 140 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 062 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -21 |
John Makdessi demonstrated solid activity levels with 140 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, John Makdessi capitalized on this activity level, while Kyle Watson's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Kyle Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 047 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -21 |
John Makdessi extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kyle Watson is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Kyle Watson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 041 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.