April 24, 2015
Catch Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Makdessi | Shane Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 120 | 977 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
John Makdessi's 8-fight experience advantage (9 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Makdessi for the expected result. Had Shane Campbell pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Shane Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 055 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Shane Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:53 | 4:53 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 200 | 975 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -25 |
John Makdessi earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 4:53, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Shane Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 47 | 25 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 98 | 57 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 59 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 224 | 916 |
| ELO Change | +84 | -84 |
John Makdessi dominated the striking exchanges with 59 vs 25 total strikes, 47 vs 25 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. John Makdessi capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Shane Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:09 | 0:34 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 048 | 945 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -55 |
John Makdessi controlled Shane Campbell on the ground with 1:09 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Shane Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 448 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 112 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +14 | -15 |
John Makdessi demonstrated extended layoff with 448 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, John Makdessi capitalized on this activity level, while Shane Campbell's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Shane Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
John Makdessi started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Shane Campbell is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Shane Campbell |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 054 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +19 | -19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.