December 11, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Makdessi | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 11 | 7 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 067 | 1 060 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +51 |
Yancy Medeiros overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (7 vs 11 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Makdessi.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 177 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +13 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Yancy Medeiros receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 114 | 80 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 196 | 268 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 114 | 80 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 127 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
John Makdessi controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (114 vs 80 total strikes), significant strike advantage (114 vs 80), superior accuracy (58.2% vs 29.9%). However, since John Makdessi lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Yancy Medeiros's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:14 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 026 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 204 | 190 |
| Activity ELO | 1 085 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +30 |
Yancy Medeiros demonstrated standard activity with 190 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Yancy Medeiros capitalized on this activity level, while John Makdessi's 204-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 042 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +27 |
Yancy Medeiros started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Makdessi is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Makdessi | Yancy Medeiros |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 017 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.