April 15, 2005
Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Marsh | Mike van Arsdale |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 970 | 1 051 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Marsh | Mike van Arsdale |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Marsh | Mike van Arsdale |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 966 | 1 103 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Mike van Arsdale earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Marsh | Mike van Arsdale |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 34 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 35 | 60 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 40 | 85 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 968 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Mike van Arsdale controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 40 total strikes, 34 vs 18 significant strikes. Mike van Arsdale capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Marsh | Mike van Arsdale |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:41 | 7:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 4 | 31 |
| Ground ELO | 956 | 1 162 |
| ELO Change | -44 | +44 |
Mike van Arsdale controlled John Marsh on the ground with 1 takedown, 7:26 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Marsh | Mike van Arsdale |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 2 529 |
| Activity ELO | 980 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +18 |
Mike van Arsdale demonstrated extended layoff with 2529 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Mike van Arsdale capitalized on this activity level, while John Marsh's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Marsh | Mike van Arsdale |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 980 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +24 |
Mike van Arsdale extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Marsh is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Marsh | Mike van Arsdale |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Heavyweight | Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 041 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.