John Moraga vs Justin Scoggins

John Moraga's 2-fight experience advantage (6 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding John Moraga for the expected result. Had Justin Scoggins pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

John Moraga earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 0:47, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Justin Scoggins was submitted.

Justin Scoggins controlled the striking through superior volume (34 vs 13 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (13 vs 4), superior accuracy (72.2% vs 33.3%). However, since Justin Scoggins lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. John Moraga's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

John Moraga edged out Justin Scoggins on the ground with 0 takedowns, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

John Moraga demonstrated solid activity levels with 90 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, John Moraga capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Scoggins's 61-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

John Moraga started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Scoggins is back at 0 with this loss.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.