January 14, 2017
Flyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Moraga | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 014 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -24 | +28 |
Sergio Pettis overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 10 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran John Moraga.
| Metric | John Moraga | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 008 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Moraga | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Sergio Pettis earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | John Moraga | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 33 | 48 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 159 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 42 | 50 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 033 | 1 074 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Sergio Pettis controlled the striking exchanges with 48 vs 33 significant strikes. Sergio Pettis capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Moraga | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:43 | 1:24 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 019 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Sergio Pettis edged out John Moraga on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 1:24 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | John Moraga | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 192 | 268 |
| Activity ELO | 1 087 | 1 127 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Sergio Pettis demonstrated standard activity with 268 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Sergio Pettis capitalized on this activity level, while John Moraga's 192-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Moraga | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 019 | 1 096 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +25 |
Sergio Pettis extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Moraga is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Moraga | Sergio Pettis |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Flyweight | Flyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 004 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.