November 23, 2018
Middleweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | John Phillips | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 958 | 1 012 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | John Phillips | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 958 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | John Phillips | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 4:05 | 4:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 920 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +57 |
Kevin Holland earned a finish with a Submission in round 3 at 4:05, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. John Phillips was submitted.
| Metric | John Phillips | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 51 | 123 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 154 | 187 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 53 | 164 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 854 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -34 | +34 |
Kevin Holland dominated the striking exchanges with 164 vs 53 total strikes, 123 vs 51 significant strikes, 65.8% vs 33.1% accuracy. Kevin Holland capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | John Phillips | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:49 | 3:22 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 17 |
| Ground ELO | 724 | 1 102 |
| ELO Change | -142 | +142 |
Kevin Holland dominated John Phillips on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 3:22 of control time, 17 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | John Phillips | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 252 | 113 |
| Activity ELO | 959 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +51 |
Kevin Holland demonstrated solid activity levels with 113 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Kevin Holland capitalized on this activity level, while John Phillips's 252-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | John Phillips | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 958 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Kevin Holland started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. John Phillips is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | John Phillips | Kevin Holland |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Middleweight | Middleweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 958 | 1 005 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.