September 12, 2014
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johnny Bedford | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -2 | 2 |
| Experience ELO | 954 | 1 037 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Rani Yahya's 2-fight experience advantage (8 vs 6 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Rani Yahya for the expected result. Had Johnny Bedford pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Johnny Bedford | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 978 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johnny Bedford | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:04 | 2:04 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 022 | 1 155 |
| ELO Change | -38 | +58 |
Rani Yahya earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:04, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Johnny Bedford was submitted.
| Metric | Johnny Bedford | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 9 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 28 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 19 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 060 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Rani Yahya slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Rani Yahya capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johnny Bedford | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 6 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:35 | 1:19 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 894 | 1 114 |
| ELO Change | -56 | +56 |
Rani Yahya controlled Johnny Bedford on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 1:19 of control time, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Johnny Bedford | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 77 | 155 |
| Activity ELO | 977 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -18 | +31 |
Rani Yahya demonstrated solid activity levels with 155 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rani Yahya capitalized on this activity level, while Johnny Bedford's 77-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Bedford | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 983 | 1 061 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Rani Yahya started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Johnny Bedford is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johnny Bedford | Rani Yahya |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 978 | 1 050 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +19 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

