September 19, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johnny Case | Kazuki Tokudome |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -3 | 3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 063 | 907 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -63 |
Johnny Case overcame a 3-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 4 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Kazuki Tokudome.
| Metric | Johnny Case | Kazuki Tokudome |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johnny Case | Kazuki Tokudome |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:34 | 2:34 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 063 | 947 |
| ELO Change | +63 | -40 |
Johnny Case earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 2:34, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Kazuki Tokudome was submitted.
| Metric | Johnny Case | Kazuki Tokudome |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 73 | 29 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 20 | 13 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 040 | 843 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Johnny Case controlled the striking exchanges with 17.8% vs 41.4% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Johnny Case capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johnny Case | Kazuki Tokudome |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:12 | 2:58 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 040 | 940 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Johnny Case edged out Kazuki Tokudome on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Johnny Case | Kazuki Tokudome |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 203 |
| Activity ELO | 1 020 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
Johnny Case demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Johnny Case capitalized on this activity level, while Kazuki Tokudome's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Case | Kazuki Tokudome |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 022 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -20 |
Johnny Case started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kazuki Tokudome is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johnny Case | Kazuki Tokudome |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 959 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

