Johnny Case vs Yan Cabral

November 6, 2015

Lightweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1139
(+29)
Johnny Case
Winner: Johnny Case
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Johnny Case+29
Yan Cabral-25
1019
(-25)
Yan Cabral

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Johnny Case: +27Yan Cabral: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohnny CaseYan Cabral
Total UFC Fights44
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 1461 050
ELO Change+27-18
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Johnny Case: +18Yan Cabral: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohnny CaseYan Cabral
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 078998
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Johnny Case: +29Yan Cabral: -29

Performance Statistics

MetricJohnny CaseYan Cabral
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 1921 019
ELO Change+29-29
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What Happened

Johnny Case earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Johnny Case: +58Yan Cabral: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricJohnny CaseYan Cabral
Significant Strikes Landed7431
Significant Strikes Attempted15965
Total Strikes Landed9041
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 195998
ELO Change+58-58
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What Happened

Johnny Case controlled the striking exchanges with 90 vs 41 total strikes, 74 vs 31 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Johnny Case capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Johnny Case: +22Yan Cabral: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJohnny CaseYan Cabral
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted06
Ground Control Time2:205:12
Ground Strikes Landed140
Ground ELO1 1921 076
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Johnny Case landed 1 knockdown followed by 14 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Johnny Case: +34Yan Cabral: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJohnny CaseYan Cabral
Days Since Last Fight148379
Activity ELO1 1311 013
ELO Change+34-17
💡

What Happened

Johnny Case demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johnny Case capitalized on this activity level, while Yan Cabral's 379-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Johnny Case: +25Yan Cabral: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohnny CaseYan Cabral
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 0961 001
ELO Change+25-18
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What Happened

Johnny Case extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Yan Cabral is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Johnny Case: +18Yan Cabral: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohnny CaseYan Cabral
Weight ClassLightweightLightweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 078998
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.