March 10, 1994
Open Weight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johnny Rhodes | Patrick Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 019 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Johnny Rhodes | Patrick Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 019 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johnny Rhodes | Patrick Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:07 | 1:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +68 |
Patrick Smith earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:07, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Johnny Rhodes | Patrick Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 4 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 9 | 12 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 4 | 5 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 109 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Patrick Smith slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Patrick Smith capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johnny Rhodes | Patrick Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | -- | -- |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 092 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
The fight remained exclusively on the feet with zero ground action, resulting in neutral ground scoring for both fighters.
| Metric | Johnny Rhodes | Patrick Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 1 | 1 |
| Activity ELO | 1 198 | 1 436 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +199 |
Patrick Smith demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within 1 day since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Patrick Smith capitalized on this activity level, while Johnny Rhodes's 1-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Rhodes | Patrick Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +29 |
Patrick Smith extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Johnny Rhodes is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johnny Rhodes | Patrick Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | N/A | N/A |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 019 | 1 045 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.