January 12, 2024
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 13 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 208 | 1 343 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +23 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (13 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 064 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:42 | 2:42 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 470 | 1 666 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +61 |
Magomed Ankalaev gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 39 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 71 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 26 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 299 | 1 603 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +43 |
Magomed Ankalaev controlled the striking exchanges with 39 vs 24 significant strikes, 67.2% vs 33.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 228 | 1 440 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 85 | 85 |
| Activity ELO | 1 292 | 1 391 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +60 |
Magomed Ankalaev demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 85 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Magomed Ankalaev capitalized on this activity level, while Johnny Walker's 85-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 107 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | -10 | +11 |
Magomed Ankalaev started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Johnny Walker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Magomed Ankalaev |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 063 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

