March 13, 2020
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 098 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Nikita Krylov's 8-fight experience advantage (13 vs 5 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Nikita Krylov for the expected result. Had Johnny Walker pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 027 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 297 | 1 391 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Nikita Krylov earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 37 | 45 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 58 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 91 | 128 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 085 | 1 292 |
| ELO Change | -15 | +15 |
Nikita Krylov controlled the striking exchanges with 128 vs 91 total strikes, 45 vs 37 significant strikes. Nikita Krylov capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 8 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:25 | 11:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 19 | 33 |
| Ground ELO | 1 100 | 1 235 |
| ELO Change | -65 | +65 |
Nikita Krylov controlled Johnny Walker on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 11:20 of control time, 33 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 211 | 1 197 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +32 |
Nikita Krylov demonstrated standard activity with 183 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Nikita Krylov capitalized on this activity level, while Johnny Walker's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 045 | 1 111 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Nikita Krylov started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Johnny Walker is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Nikita Krylov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 027 | 1 068 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.