January 20, 2023
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 10 | 15 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 165 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -35 |
Johnny Walker overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (10 vs 15 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Paul Craig.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 056 | 1 046 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:16 | 2:16 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 454 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | +103 | -46 |
Johnny Walker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:16, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 16 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 20 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 17 | 3 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 297 | 1 072 |
| ELO Change | +176 | -176 |
Johnny Walker controlled the striking exchanges with 16 vs 3 significant strikes, 80.0% vs 37.5% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Johnny Walker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:04 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 5 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 184 | 1 121 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Johnny Walker landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 134 | 183 |
| Activity ELO | 1 245 | 1 158 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -19 |
Johnny Walker demonstrated solid activity levels with 134 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johnny Walker capitalized on this activity level, while Paul Craig's 183-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 084 | 1 076 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -24 |
Johnny Walker extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Paul Craig is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Paul Craig |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 055 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

