September 18, 2020
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 5 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 139 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -41 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (6 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 051 | 1 059 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 2:43 | 2:43 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 380 | 1 216 |
| ELO Change | +83 | -37 |
Johnny Walker earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 2:43, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 26 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 30 | 13 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 30 | 10 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 1 201 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | +116 | -116 |
Johnny Walker controlled the striking exchanges with 30 vs 10 total strikes, 26 vs 7 significant strikes, 86.7% vs 53.8% accuracy. Johnny Walker capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:40 | 1:46 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 22 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 131 | 1 145 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Johnny Walker did not secure a significant ground advantage against Ryan Spann on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:40 of control time, 22 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 189 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 231 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -16 |
Johnny Walker demonstrated standard activity with 189 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Johnny Walker capitalized on this activity level, while Ryan Spann's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 072 | 1 080 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -25 |
Johnny Walker started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Ryan Spann is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johnny Walker | Ryan Spann |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 051 | 1 058 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

