December 29, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | -8 | 8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 232 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | +64 | -42 |
Johny Hendricks overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jon Fitch.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 126 | 1 183 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:12 | 0:12 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 488 | 1 386 |
| ELO Change | +230 | -63 |
Johny Hendricks achieved an EXPLOSIVE KO/TKO finish in just 0:12 of round 1! This lightning-fast destruction earned massive bonus multipliers for the exceptional finish.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 1 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 477 | 1 293 |
| ELO Change | +177 | -177 |
Virtually no striking took place with only 2 total significant strikes exchanged. Both fighters immediately engaged in grappling, making striking analysis irrelevant to this fight.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 349 | 1 447 |
| ELO Change | +87 | -87 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 307 |
| Activity ELO | 1 262 | 1 349 |
| ELO Change | +62 | -31 |
Johny Hendricks demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johny Hendricks capitalized on this activity level, while Jon Fitch's 307-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 162 | 1 279 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -31 |
Johny Hendricks extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jon Fitch is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Jon Fitch |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 125 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

