May 4, 2012
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -12 | 12 |
| Experience ELO | 1 285 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +53 | -30 |
Johny Hendricks overcame a 12-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 21 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Josh Koscheck.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 150 | 1 160 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 499 | 1 492 |
| ELO Change | +11 | -11 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Johny Hendricks receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 55 | 33 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 120 | 89 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 82 | 57 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 502 | 1 363 |
| ELO Change | +25 | -25 |
Johny Hendricks controlled the striking exchanges with 82 vs 57 total strikes, 55 vs 33 significant strikes, 45.8% vs 37.1% accuracy. Johny Hendricks capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:31 | 3:26 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 1 394 | 1 428 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -45 |
Johny Hendricks edged out Josh Koscheck on the ground with 2 vs 1 takedowns, 2:31 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 127 | 91 |
| Activity ELO | 1 317 | 1 346 |
| ELO Change | +55 | -28 |
Johny Hendricks demonstrated solid activity levels with 127 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johny Hendricks capitalized on this activity level, while Josh Koscheck's 91-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 4 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 197 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -25 |
Johny Hendricks extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Josh Koscheck is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Josh Koscheck |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 148 | 1 142 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.