July 8, 2016
Welterweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 17 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 240 | 1 245 |
| ELO Change | -40 | +61 |
Kelvin Gastelum overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (9 vs 17 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Johny Hendricks.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 159 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 481 | 1 404 |
| ELO Change | -64 | +64 |
Kelvin Gastelum earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 70 | 124 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 157 | 249 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 134 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 366 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -48 | +48 |
Kelvin Gastelum controlled the striking exchanges with 134 vs 90 total strikes, 124 vs 70 significant strikes. Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 5 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 2:09 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 371 | 1 347 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Kelvin Gastelum did not secure a significant ground advantage against Johny Hendricks on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:21 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 154 | 231 |
| Activity ELO | 1 341 | 1 249 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +38 |
Kelvin Gastelum demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Kelvin Gastelum capitalized on this activity level, while Johny Hendricks's 154-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 211 | 1 161 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +30 |
Kelvin Gastelum started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Johny Hendricks is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Kelvin Gastelum |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 127 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.