March 13, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 15 | 19 |
| Experience Gap | -4 | 4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 323 | 1 157 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -21 |
Johny Hendricks overcame a 4-fight experience disadvantage (15 vs 19 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Matt Brown.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 213 | 1 094 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 612 | 1 424 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Johny Hendricks earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 36 | 23 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 49 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 85 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 574 | 1 446 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -30 |
Johny Hendricks controlled the striking exchanges with 85 vs 39 total strikes, 36 vs 23 significant strikes. Johny Hendricks capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:06 | 0:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 15 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 482 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -39 |
Johny Hendricks dominated Matt Brown on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 11:06 of control time, 15 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 98 | 232 |
| Activity ELO | 1 404 | 1 273 |
| ELO Change | +42 | -17 |
Johny Hendricks demonstrated solid activity levels with 98 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johny Hendricks capitalized on this activity level, while Matt Brown's 232-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 266 | 1 185 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -18 |
Johny Hendricks started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Matt Brown is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Matt Brown |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 178 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.