August 5, 2011
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 168 | 1 105 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -31 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (7 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 258 | 1 176 |
| ELO Change | +9 | -9 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Johny Hendricks receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 54 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 121 | 99 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 90 | 81 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 300 | 1 189 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
Johny Hendricks controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 37 significant strikes. Johny Hendricks capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 6 | 4 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:52 | 3:10 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 262 | 1 289 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Johny Hendricks did not secure a significant ground advantage against Mike Pierce on the ground with 1 takedown, 1:52 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 182 |
| Activity ELO | 1 200 | 1 107 |
| ELO Change | +38 | -19 |
Johny Hendricks demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johny Hendricks capitalized on this activity level, while Mike Pierce's 182-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 121 | 1 064 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Johny Hendricks extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Mike Pierce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Mike Pierce |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 048 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

