December 29, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 18 | 16 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 203 | 1 225 |
| ELO Change | -37 | +41 |
Neil Magny overcame a 2-fight experience disadvantage (16 vs 18 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Johny Hendricks.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 136 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 422 | 1 394 |
| ELO Change | -59 | +59 |
Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 50 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 36 | 91 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 52 | 96 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 304 | 1 270 |
| ELO Change | -62 | +62 |
Neil Magny controlled the striking exchanges with 96 vs 52 total strikes, 50 vs 18 significant strikes. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 10:00 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 8 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 1 342 | 1 402 |
| ELO Change | -29 | +29 |
Neil Magny slightly outworked Johny Hendricks on the ground with 1 takedown, 18 ground strikes, earning modest grappling bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 175 | 133 |
| Activity ELO | 1 324 | 1 441 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +34 |
Neil Magny demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Johny Hendricks's 175-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 189 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Johny Hendricks is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 106 | 1 144 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.