December 3, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 6 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 113 | 1 147 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 059 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 188 | 1 227 |
| ELO Change | -49 | +49 |
Rick Story earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 24 | 55 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 58 | 125 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 45 | 98 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 220 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -52 | +52 |
Rick Story dominated the striking exchanges with 98 vs 45 total strikes, 55 vs 24 significant strikes. Rick Story capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:17 | 2:51 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 187 | 1 338 |
| ELO Change | -30 | +30 |
Rick Story edged out Johny Hendricks on the ground with 2 takedowns, 2:51 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 120 | 120 |
| Activity ELO | 1 125 | 1 236 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +35 |
Rick Story demonstrated solid activity levels with 120 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Rick Story capitalized on this activity level, while Johny Hendricks's 120-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 5 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 077 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +41 |
Rick Story continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Johny Hendricks's now at 0.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Rick Story |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 059 | 1 089 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.