February 5, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 16 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 8 | -8 |
| Experience ELO | 1 280 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -43 | +66 |
Stephen Thompson overcame a 8-fight experience disadvantage (8 vs 16 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Johny Hendricks.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 186 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -27 | +27 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:31 | 3:31 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 545 | 1 522 |
| ELO Change | -67 | +143 |
Stephen Thompson earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 3:31, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 7 | 24 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 16 | 46 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 11 | 25 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 414 | 1 577 |
| ELO Change | -160 | +160 |
Stephen Thompson controlled the striking exchanges with 24 vs 7 significant strikes, 52.2% vs 43.8% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Stephen Thompson capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:29 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 396 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -86 | +86 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 329 | 210 |
| Activity ELO | 1 371 | 1 208 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +42 |
Stephen Thompson demonstrated standard activity with 210 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Stephen Thompson capitalized on this activity level, while Johny Hendricks's 329-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 6 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 238 | 1 215 |
| ELO Change | -28 | +67 |
Stephen Thompson continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Johny Hendricks's now at 0.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | Stephen Thompson |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 152 | 1 128 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.