May 7, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 126 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 062 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 184 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +13 | -13 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Johny Hendricks earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 67 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 81 | 111 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 83 | 78 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 179 | 1 075 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
TJ Grant controlled the striking through significant strike advantage (67 vs 53). However, since TJ Grant lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Johny Hendricks's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 8 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:36 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 196 | 928 |
| ELO Change | +69 | -69 |
Johny Hendricks dominated TJ Grant on the ground with 8 vs 0 takedowns, 6:36 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 147 | 147 |
| Activity ELO | 1 101 | 1 028 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -20 |
Johny Hendricks demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johny Hendricks capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Grant's 147-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 3 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 074 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -20 |
Johny Hendricks extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Grant is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Johny Hendricks | TJ Grant |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 062 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.