Johny Hendricks vs TJ Waldburger

March 25, 2011

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1163
(+34)
Johny Hendricks
Winner: Johny Hendricks
KO/TKO
Round 1 • 1:35

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Johny Hendricks+34
TJ Waldburger-27
1009
(-27)
TJ Waldburger

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Johny Hendricks: +23TJ Waldburger: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJohny HendricksTJ Waldburger
Total UFC Fights62
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 136998
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Johny Hendricks's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Johny Hendricks for the expected result. Had TJ Waldburger pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Johny Hendricks: +19TJ Waldburger: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohny HendricksTJ Waldburger
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 0781 002
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Johny Hendricks: +61TJ Waldburger: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricJohny HendricksTJ Waldburger
Fight OutcomeKO/TKOKO/TKO
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:351:35
Win Type ELO1 2491 017
ELO Change+61-25
💡

What Happened

Johny Hendricks earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:35, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Johny Hendricks: +58TJ Waldburger: -58

Performance Statistics

MetricJohny HendricksTJ Waldburger
Significant Strikes Landed73
Significant Strikes Attempted89
Total Strikes Landed93
Knockdowns Scored10
Striking ELO1 278982
ELO Change+58-58
💡

What Happened

Johny Hendricks controlled the striking exchanges with 87.5% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Johny Hendricks capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Johny Hendricks: +40TJ Waldburger: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricJohny HendricksTJ Waldburger
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted01
Ground Control Time0:260:31
Ground Strikes Landed30
Ground ELO1 2271 061
ELO Change+40-40
💡

What Happened

Johny Hendricks landed 1 knockdown followed by 3 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Johny Hendricks: +37TJ Waldburger: -15

Performance Statistics

MetricJohny HendricksTJ Waldburger
Days Since Last Fight112193
Activity ELO1 1621 006
ELO Change+37-15
💡

What Happened

Johny Hendricks demonstrated solid activity levels with 112 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Johny Hendricks capitalized on this activity level, while TJ Waldburger's 193-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Johny Hendricks: +20TJ Waldburger: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJohny HendricksTJ Waldburger
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 0971 005
ELO Change+20-18
💡

What Happened

Johny Hendricks started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. TJ Waldburger is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Johny Hendricks: +19TJ Waldburger: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJohny HendricksTJ Waldburger
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 0781 002
ELO Change+19-19
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.