April 5, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 058 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 043 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 4:57 | 4:57 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 136 | 1 146 |
| ELO Change | +94 | -61 |
Jon Fitch earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 4:57, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Joshua Burkman was submitted.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 25 | 20 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 50 | 35 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 122 | 20 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 157 | 1 044 |
| ELO Change | +100 | -100 |
Jon Fitch dominated the striking exchanges with 122 vs 20 total strikes, 25 vs 20 significant strikes, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 4 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:12 | 2:54 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 255 | 951 |
| ELO Change | +156 | -156 |
Jon Fitch dominated Joshua Burkman on the ground with 3 vs 1 takedowns, 5:12 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 185 | 80 |
| Activity ELO | 1 053 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -26 |
Jon Fitch demonstrated standard activity with 185 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Joshua Burkman's 80-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 050 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -23 |
Jon Fitch extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Joshua Burkman is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Joshua Burkman |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 043 | 1 020 |
| ELO Change | +22 | -22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.