Jon Fitch vs Kuniyoshi Hironaka

October 13, 2006

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1183
(+23)
Jon Fitch
Winner: Jon Fitch
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jon Fitch+23
Kuniyoshi Hironaka-20
980
(-20)
Kuniyoshi Hironaka

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +24Kuniyoshi Hironaka: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchKuniyoshi Hironaka
Total UFC Fights41
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 114976
ELO Change+24-24
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What Happened

Jon Fitch's 3-fight experience advantage (4 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Fitch for the expected result. Had Kuniyoshi Hironaka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +17Kuniyoshi Hironaka: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchKuniyoshi Hironaka
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 080983
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +18Kuniyoshi Hironaka: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchKuniyoshi Hironaka
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 241982
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

Jon Fitch earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +22Kuniyoshi Hironaka: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchKuniyoshi Hironaka
Significant Strikes Landed444
Significant Strikes Attempted7817
Total Strikes Landed18417
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 360978
ELO Change+22-22
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What Happened

Jon Fitch dominated the striking exchanges with 184 vs 17 total strikes, 44 vs 4 significant strikes, 56.4% vs 23.5% accuracy. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +32Kuniyoshi Hironaka: -32

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchKuniyoshi Hironaka
Takedowns Landed50
Takedowns Attempted62
Ground Control Time12:000:50
Ground Strikes Landed280
Ground ELO1 329968
ELO Change+32-32
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What Happened

Jon Fitch dominated Kuniyoshi Hironaka on the ground with 5 vs 0 takedowns, 12:00 of control time, 28 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +34Kuniyoshi Hironaka: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchKuniyoshi Hironaka
Days Since Last Fight108N/A
Activity ELO1 162986
ELO Change+34-14
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What Happened

Jon Fitch demonstrated solid activity levels with 108 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Kuniyoshi Hironaka's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +23Kuniyoshi Hironaka: -16

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchKuniyoshi Hironaka
Win Streak40
Win Streak ELO1 099984
ELO Change+23-16
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What Happened

Jon Fitch extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kuniyoshi Hironaka is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +17Kuniyoshi Hironaka: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchKuniyoshi Hironaka
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 080983
ELO Change+17-17
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.