March 2, 2007
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 140 | 1 024 |
| ELO Change | +26 | -26 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (5 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 098 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 3:05 | 3:05 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 288 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -30 |
Jon Fitch earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 3:05, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Luigi Fioravanti was submitted.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 19 | 14 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 42 | 25 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 69 | 21 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 377 | 1 109 |
| ELO Change | +17 | -17 |
Jon Fitch controlled the striking exchanges with 69 vs 21 total strikes, 19 vs 14 significant strikes, 45.2% vs 56.0% accuracy. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 7 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:21 | 0:37 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 381 | 1 011 |
| ELO Change | +52 | -52 |
Jon Fitch dominated Luigi Fioravanti on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 4:21 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 141 | 80 |
| Activity ELO | 1 195 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -16 |
Jon Fitch demonstrated solid activity levels with 141 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Luigi Fioravanti's 80-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 131 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | +32 | -17 |
Jon Fitch continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Luigi Fioravanti's now at 0.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Luigi Fioravanti |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 098 | 1 006 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.