Jon Fitch vs Roan Carneiro

Jon Fitch's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Fitch for the expected result. Had Roan Carneiro pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Jon Fitch earned a finish with a Submission in round 2 at 1:07, earning finishing bonuses for the submission. Roan Carneiro was submitted.

Jon Fitch controlled the striking exchanges with 54 vs 5 total strikes, 18 vs 4 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 40.0% accuracy. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.

Jon Fitch controlled Roan Carneiro on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:14 of control time, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.

Jon Fitch demonstrated solid activity levels with 101 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Roan Carneiro's 68-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Jon Fitch continued building serious momentum with a 6-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Roan Carneiro's now at 0.

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.