August 6, 2010
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 13 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 295 | 1 198 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -28 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 206 | 1 126 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 445 | 1 408 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -49 |
Jon Fitch earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 29 | 22 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 66 | 81 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 39 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 465 | 1 420 |
| ELO Change | +35 | -35 |
Jon Fitch controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 39 total strikes, 29 vs 22 significant strikes, 43.9% vs 27.2% accuracy. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 11 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 8:07 | 2:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 11 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 552 | 1 231 |
| ELO Change | +40 | -40 |
Jon Fitch dominated Thiago Alves on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 8:07 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 392 |
| Activity ELO | 1 383 | 1 340 |
| ELO Change | +45 | -22 |
Jon Fitch demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Alves's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 318 | 1 226 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -19 |
Jon Fitch continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Thiago Alves's now at 0.
| Metric | Jon Fitch | Thiago Alves |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 201 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

