Jon Fitch vs Thiago Alves

August 6, 2010

Welterweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1358
(+33)
Jon Fitch
Winner: Jon Fitch
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jon Fitch+33
Thiago Alves-29
1257
(-29)
Thiago Alves

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +28Thiago Alves: -28

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchThiago Alves
Total UFC Fights1413
Experience Gap1-1
Experience ELO1 2951 198
ELO Change+28-28
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (14 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +18Thiago Alves: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchThiago Alves
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 2061 126
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +49Thiago Alves: -49

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchThiago Alves
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 4451 408
ELO Change+49-49
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What Happened

Jon Fitch earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +35Thiago Alves: -35

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchThiago Alves
Significant Strikes Landed2922
Significant Strikes Attempted6681
Total Strikes Landed7039
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 4651 420
ELO Change+35-35
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What Happened

Jon Fitch controlled the striking exchanges with 70 vs 39 total strikes, 29 vs 22 significant strikes, 43.9% vs 27.2% accuracy. Jon Fitch capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +40Thiago Alves: -40

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchThiago Alves
Takedowns Landed90
Takedowns Attempted110
Ground Control Time8:072:01
Ground Strikes Landed112
Ground ELO1 5521 231
ELO Change+40-40
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What Happened

Jon Fitch dominated Thiago Alves on the ground with 9 vs 0 takedowns, 8:07 of control time, 11 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +45Thiago Alves: -22

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchThiago Alves
Days Since Last Fight133392
Activity ELO1 3831 340
ELO Change+45-22
💡

What Happened

Jon Fitch demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Fitch capitalized on this activity level, while Thiago Alves's 392-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +36Thiago Alves: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchThiago Alves
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 3181 226
ELO Change+36-19
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What Happened

Jon Fitch continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Thiago Alves's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Fitch: +18Thiago Alves: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJon FitchThiago Alves
Weight ClassWelterweightWelterweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 2011 110
ELO Change+18-18
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.