December 4, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -5 | 5 |
| Experience ELO | 1 080 | 1 149 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Matt Hamill's 5-fight experience advantage (9 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Hamill for the expected result. Had Jon Jones pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 045 | 1 101 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | DQ | DQ |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:14 | 4:14 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 160 | 1 294 |
| ELO Change | -7 | +7 |
The fight concluded with Matt Hamill earning a DQ, with adjustments based on the nature of the result.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 44 | 5 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 88 | 17 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 55 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 124 | 1 243 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Jon Jones controlled the striking through overwhelming volume (55 vs 7 total strikes), significant strike advantage (44 vs 5), superior accuracy (50.0% vs 29.4%). However, since Jon Jones lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Hamill's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:24 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 33 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 215 | 1 259 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Matt Hamill did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jon Jones on the ground with 0 takedowns, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 273 |
| Activity ELO | 1 093 | 1 188 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +17 |
Matt Hamill demonstrated standard activity with 273 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Matt Hamill capitalized on this activity level, while Jon Jones's 148-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 058 | 1 122 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +26 |
Matt Hamill extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jon Jones is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Matt Hamill |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 045 | 1 097 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.