January 30, 2009
Light Heavyweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 075 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +54 | -37 |
Jon Jones overcame a 7-fight experience disadvantage (2 vs 9 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Stephan Bonnar.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 044 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 103 | 1 148 |
| ELO Change | +61 | -61 |
Jon Jones earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 45 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 62 | 76 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 70 | 74 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 101 | 1 067 |
| ELO Change | +72 | -72 |
Jon Jones controlled the striking exchanges with 45 vs 37 significant strikes, 72.6% vs 48.7% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jon Jones capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 7 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 10 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 4:09 | 2:11 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 10 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 195 | 1 040 |
| ELO Change | +125 | -125 |
Jon Jones landed 1 knockdown followed by 10 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 176 | 470 |
| Activity ELO | 1 070 | 1 116 |
| ELO Change | +49 | -28 |
Jon Jones demonstrated solid activity levels with 176 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jon Jones capitalized on this activity level, while Stephan Bonnar's 470-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 051 | 1 039 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -23 |
Jon Jones extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Stephan Bonnar is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jon Jones | Stephan Bonnar |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Light Heavyweight | Light Heavyweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 044 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.