Jon Madsen vs Justin Wren

December 4, 2009

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1022
(+22)
Jon Madsen
Winner: Jon Madsen
Decision - Split
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jon Madsen+22
Justin Wren-21
979
(-21)
Justin Wren

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +21Justin Wren: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenJustin Wren
Total UFC Fights11
Experience Gap00
Experience ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +21Justin Wren: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenJustin Wren
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +11Justin Wren: -10

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenJustin Wren
Fight OutcomeDecision - SplitDecision - Split
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 011990
ELO Change+11-10
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What Happened

The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Jon Madsen receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +33Justin Wren: -33

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenJustin Wren
Significant Strikes Landed2617
Significant Strikes Attempted100159
Total Strikes Landed2617
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 033967
ELO Change+33-33
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What Happened

Jon Madsen edged the striking exchanges with 26 vs 17 significant strikes, 26.0% vs 10.7% accuracy. Jon Madsen capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +21Justin Wren: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenJustin Wren
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted11
Ground Control Time0:000:16
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +21Justin Wren: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenJustin Wren
Days Since Last FightN/AN/A
Activity ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

Jon Madsen demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Jon Madsen capitalized on this activity level, while Justin Wren's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +23Justin Wren: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenJustin Wren
Win Streak10
Win Streak ELO1 023979
ELO Change+23-21
💡

What Happened

Jon Madsen started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Justin Wren is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +21Justin Wren: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenJustin Wren
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 021979
ELO Change+21-21
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.