Jon Madsen vs Karlos Vemola

July 2, 2010

Heavyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1085
(+38)
Jon Madsen
Winner: Jon Madsen
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jon Madsen+38
Karlos Vemola-33
967
(-33)
Karlos Vemola

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +27Karlos Vemola: -27

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Total UFC Fights31
Experience Gap2-2
Experience ELO1 074973
ELO Change+27-27
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What Happened

Jon Madsen's 2-fight experience advantage (3 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Madsen for the expected result. Had Karlos Vemola pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +19Karlos Vemola: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 057981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +37Karlos Vemola: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 082963
ELO Change+37-37
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What Happened

Jon Madsen earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +48Karlos Vemola: -48

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Significant Strikes Landed3716
Significant Strikes Attempted5342
Total Strikes Landed11821
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 098952
ELO Change+48-48
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What Happened

Jon Madsen dominated the striking exchanges with 118 vs 21 total strikes, 37 vs 16 significant strikes, 69.8% vs 38.1% accuracy. Jon Madsen capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +76Karlos Vemola: -76

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Takedowns Landed30
Takedowns Attempted43
Ground Control Time9:490:11
Ground Strikes Landed70
Ground ELO1 135924
ELO Change+76-76
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What Happened

Jon Madsen dominated Karlos Vemola on the ground with 3 vs 0 takedowns, 9:49 of control time, 7 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +53Karlos Vemola: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Days Since Last Fight84N/A
Activity ELO1 109982
ELO Change+53-18
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What Happened

Jon Madsen demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jon Madsen capitalized on this activity level, while Karlos Vemola's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +24Karlos Vemola: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 068982
ELO Change+24-18
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What Happened

Jon Madsen extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Karlos Vemola is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jon Madsen: +19Karlos Vemola: -19

Performance Statistics

MetricJon MadsenKarlos Vemola
Weight ClassHeavyweightHeavyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 057981
ELO Change+19-19
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What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.