February 22, 2013
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Manley | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (1 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jon Manley | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Manley | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 958 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Neil Magny earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jon Manley | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 17 | 65 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 85 | 120 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 35 | 97 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 947 | 1 053 |
| ELO Change | -53 | +53 |
Neil Magny dominated the striking exchanges with 97 vs 35 total strikes, 65 vs 17 significant strikes, 54.2% vs 20.0% accuracy. Neil Magny capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Manley | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 13 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 5:27 | 5:08 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 10 |
| Ground ELO | 922 | 1 078 |
| ELO Change | -78 | +78 |
Neil Magny controlled Jon Manley on the ground with 4 vs 1 takedowns, 5:08 of control time, 10 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Manley | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Neil Magny demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Neil Magny capitalized on this activity level, while Jon Manley's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Manley | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 979 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Neil Magny started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jon Manley is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jon Manley | Neil Magny |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 979 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.