May 7, 2016
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 6 | 1 |
| Experience Gap | 5 | -5 |
| Experience ELO | 968 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -84 | +84 |
Josh Emmett overcame a 5-fight experience disadvantage (1 vs 6 fights), earning a reward for beating the more seasoned veteran Jon Tuck.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 998 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 092 | 1 014 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +14 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Josh Emmett receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 53 | 54 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 180 | 152 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 54 | 54 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 045 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -25 | +25 |
Josh Emmett slightly outperformed the striking exchanges. Josh Emmett capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:01 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 058 | 1 026 |
| ELO Change | -26 | +26 |
Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 358 | N/A |
| Activity ELO | 1 010 | 1 023 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +23 |
Josh Emmett demonstrated incredible warrior mentality with a tournament-style turnaround with within null days since his last fight, earning one of the highest possible activity bonuses for the lightning-quick return. As the winner, Josh Emmett capitalized on this activity level, while Jon Tuck's 358-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | -23 | +25 |
Josh Emmett started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jon Tuck is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Josh Emmett |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 998 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

