September 26, 2014
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 4 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 021 | 1 042 |
| ELO Change | -36 | +39 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (4 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 033 | 1 031 |
| ELO Change | -55 | +55 |
Kevin Lee earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 30 | 74 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 80 | 157 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 68 | 100 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 999 | 1 021 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Kevin Lee controlled the striking exchanges with 100 vs 68 total strikes, 74 vs 30 significant strikes, 47.1% vs 37.5% accuracy. Kevin Lee capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 4 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 8:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 31 |
| Ground ELO | 977 | 1 152 |
| ELO Change | -107 | +107 |
Kevin Lee dominated Jon Tuck on the ground with 4 vs 0 takedowns, 8:45 of control time, 31 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 112 | 83 |
| Activity ELO | 1 006 | 1 084 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +64 |
Kevin Lee demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 83 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Kevin Lee capitalized on this activity level, while Jon Tuck's 112-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 2 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 004 | 1 030 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +27 |
Kevin Lee extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jon Tuck is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Kevin Lee |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 999 | 1 022 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.