May 15, 2015
Lightweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 5 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 2 | -2 |
| Experience ELO | 1 052 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Jon Tuck's 2-fight experience advantage (5 vs 3 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jon Tuck for the expected result. Had Tae Hyun Bang pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 3:56 | 3:56 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 106 | 1 008 |
| ELO Change | +73 | -44 |
Jon Tuck earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 3:56, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 13 | 12 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 31 | 34 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 13 | 12 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 070 | 1 032 |
| ELO Change | +71 | -71 |
Jon Tuck controlled the striking exchanges, including 1 devastating knockdown. Jon Tuck capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 1 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:02 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 084 | 863 |
| ELO Change | +107 | -107 |
Jon Tuck dominated Tae Hyun Bang on the ground with 0 takedowns, 1:02 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 231 | 336 |
| Activity ELO | 1 033 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -22 |
Jon Tuck demonstrated standard activity with 231 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Jon Tuck capitalized on this activity level, while Tae Hyun Bang's 336-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 027 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jon Tuck started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Tae Hyun Bang is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jon Tuck | Tae Hyun Bang |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Lightweight | Lightweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 980 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.