February 14, 2012
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonathan Brookins | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 033 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +33 | -22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jonathan Brookins | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 021 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonathan Brookins | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 1:32 | 1:32 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 119 | 1 001 |
| ELO Change | +113 | -47 |
Jonathan Brookins earned an early finish with a KO/TKO in round 1 at 1:32, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round stoppage.
| Metric | Jonathan Brookins | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 28 | 16 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 18 | 7 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 072 | 924 |
| ELO Change | +81 | -81 |
Jonathan Brookins edged the striking exchanges with 18 vs 7 significant strikes, 64.3% vs 43.8% accuracy. Jonathan Brookins capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonathan Brookins | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 1 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:07 | 0:00 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 9 | 0 |
| Ground ELO | 1 140 | 1 079 |
| ELO Change | +74 | -74 |
Jonathan Brookins controlled Vagner Rocha on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 9 ground strikes, earning substantial ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Brookins | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 152 | 152 |
| Activity ELO | 1 041 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | +41 | -23 |
Jonathan Brookins demonstrated solid activity levels with 152 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jonathan Brookins capitalized on this activity level, while Vagner Rocha's 152-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Brookins | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 025 | 985 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jonathan Brookins started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vagner Rocha is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jonathan Brookins | Vagner Rocha |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 021 | 981 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.