April 18, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 7 | 4 |
| Experience Gap | 3 | -3 |
| Experience ELO | 1 066 | 961 |
| ELO Change | +27 | -27 |
Jonathan Goulet's 3-fight experience advantage (7 vs 4 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jonathan Goulet for the expected result. Had Kuniyoshi Hironaka pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 023 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 2 | 2 |
| Time of Finish | 2:07 | 2:07 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 109 | 964 |
| ELO Change | +80 | -39 |
Jonathan Goulet gained a finish with a KO/TKO in round 2, earning finishing bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 31 | 21 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 78 | 50 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 34 | 23 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 2 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 1 044 | 834 |
| ELO Change | +174 | -174 |
Jonathan Goulet dominated the striking exchanges with 31 vs 21 significant strikes, including 2 devastating knockdowns. Jonathan Goulet capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:20 | 1:17 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 12 |
| Ground ELO | 1 147 | 1 025 |
| ELO Change | +16 | -16 |
Jonathan Goulet did not secure a significant ground advantage against Kuniyoshi Hironaka on the ground with 0 takedowns, 0:20 of control time, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 133 | 213 |
| Activity ELO | 1 102 | 994 |
| ELO Change | +36 | -18 |
Jonathan Goulet demonstrated solid activity levels with 133 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jonathan Goulet capitalized on this activity level, while Kuniyoshi Hironaka's 213-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 2 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 034 | 970 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -20 |
Jonathan Goulet extended his 2-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Kuniyoshi Hironaka is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Kuniyoshi Hironaka |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 023 | 966 |
| ELO Change | +20 | -20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.