June 27, 2006
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 3 | 3 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 1 070 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +30 | -20 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (3 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Majority | Decision - Majority |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 002 | 996 |
| ELO Change | +18 | -18 |
The Decision - Majority showed mixed judging, with Jonathan Goulet earning reduced bonuses for the unclear victory margin.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 18 | 13 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 34 | 21 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 65 | 30 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 2 |
| Striking ELO | 972 | 990 |
| ELO Change | +47 | -47 |
Jonathan Goulet controlled the striking exchanges with 65 vs 30 total strikes, 18 vs 13 significant strikes, 52.9% vs 61.9% accuracy. Jonathan Goulet capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 6 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 9 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 11:33 | 1:55 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 16 | 3 |
| Ground ELO | 1 107 | 911 |
| ELO Change | +108 | -108 |
Jonathan Goulet dominated Luke Cummo on the ground with 6 vs 0 takedowns, 11:33 of control time, 16 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 163 | 83 |
| Activity ELO | 1 038 | 998 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -22 |
Jonathan Goulet demonstrated solid activity levels with 163 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jonathan Goulet capitalized on this activity level, while Luke Cummo's 83-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 1 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 024 | 984 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -21 |
Jonathan Goulet started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Luke Cummo is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Luke Cummo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 982 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.