December 9, 2008
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 8 | 9 |
| Experience Gap | -1 | 1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 044 | 1 193 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (8 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 007 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | KO/TKO | KO/TKO |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 0:33 | 0:33 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 090 | 1 371 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +51 |
Mike Swick secured a devastating KO/TKO in 0:33 of round 1. This explosive first-minute finish earned substantial bonus rewards for the exceptional performance.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 1 | 7 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 3 | 8 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 1 | 16 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 1 |
| Striking ELO | 981 | 1 336 |
| ELO Change | -63 | +63 |
Mike Swick controlled the striking exchanges with 7 vs 1 significant strikes, 87.5% vs 33.3% accuracy, including 1 devastating knockdown. Mike Swick capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 0:09 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 5 |
| Ground ELO | 1 105 | 1 263 |
| ELO Change | -42 | +42 |
Mike Swick landed 1 knockdown followed by 5 ground strikes. Few ground strikes after a knockdown do not qualify for major ground ELO bonus.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 236 | 187 |
| Activity ELO | 1 089 | 1 260 |
| ELO Change | -13 | +16 |
Mike Swick demonstrated standard activity with 187 days since his last fight, earning a small activity bonus for reasonable scheduling. As the winner, Mike Swick capitalized on this activity level, while Jonathan Goulet's 236-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 3 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 020 | 1 175 |
| ELO Change | -14 | +18 |
Mike Swick extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonathan Goulet is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jonathan Goulet | Mike Swick |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 007 | 1 130 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.