May 3, 2024
Bantamweight Bout
Click any category to learn how it's calculated.
Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 14 | 21 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 1 241 | 1 310 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Jose Aldo's 7-fight experience advantage (21 vs 14 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jose Aldo for the expected result. Had Jonathan Martinez pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 126 | 1 247 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 414 | 1 507 |
| ELO Change | -41 | +41 |
Jose Aldo earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 52 | 77 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 118 | 139 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 80 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 391 | 1 439 |
| ELO Change | -31 | +31 |
Jose Aldo controlled the striking exchanges with 101 vs 80 total strikes, 77 vs 52 significant strikes, 55.4% vs 44.1% accuracy. Jose Aldo capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 2 | 2 |
| Ground Control Time | 1:20 | 1:45 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 1 | 2 |
| Ground ELO | 1 217 | 1 331 |
| ELO Change | -32 | +32 |
Jose Aldo edged out Jonathan Martinez on the ground with 1 vs 0 takedowns, 1:45 of control time, 2 ground strikes, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 203 | 623 |
| Activity ELO | 1 288 | 1 318 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +20 |
Jose Aldo demonstrated extended layoff with 623 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Jose Aldo capitalized on this activity level, while Jonathan Martinez's 203-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 199 | 1 254 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +22 |
Jose Aldo started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonathan Martinez is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Jose Aldo |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 119 | 1 151 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +22 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.
Why It Matters:
Extra bonuses are awarded for title victories and undefeated streaks. These bonuses are only calculated for certain fighters with notable performances. Only UFC champions and undefeated fighters (in the UFC) can receive these bonuses.