March 10, 2023
Bantamweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 12 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 4 | -4 |
| Experience ELO | 1 252 | 1 181 |
| ELO Change | +31 | -31 |
Jonathan Martinez's 4-fight experience advantage (12 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jonathan Martinez for the expected result. Had Said Nurmagomedov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 124 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 399 | 1 287 |
| ELO Change | +37 | -37 |
Jonathan Martinez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 38 | 47 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 55 | 78 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 78 | 101 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 329 | 1 311 |
| ELO Change | +23 | -23 |
Said Nurmagomedov controlled the striking through superior volume (101 vs 78 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (47 vs 38). However, since Said Nurmagomedov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jonathan Martinez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 1 | 9 |
| Ground Control Time | 6:09 | 4:21 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 3 | 4 |
| Ground ELO | 1 236 | 1 182 |
| ELO Change | +24 | -24 |
Jonathan Martinez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Said Nurmagomedov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 6:09 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 148 | 84 |
| Activity ELO | 1 295 | 1 129 |
| ELO Change | +28 | -14 |
Jonathan Martinez demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jonathan Martinez capitalized on this activity level, while Said Nurmagomedov's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 5 | 0 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 178 | 1 110 |
| ELO Change | +39 | -20 |
Jonathan Martinez continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Said Nurmagomedov's now at 0.
| Metric | Jonathan Martinez | Said Nurmagomedov |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Bantamweight | Bantamweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 123 | 1 083 |
| ELO Change | +21 | -21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

