Jonathan Martinez vs Said Nurmagomedov

March 10, 2023

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1242
(+28)
Jonathan Martinez
Winner: Jonathan Martinez
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jonathan Martinez+28
Said Nurmagomedov-24
1171
(-24)
Said Nurmagomedov

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +31Said Nurmagomedov: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Total UFC Fights128
Experience Gap4-4
Experience ELO1 2521 181
ELO Change+31-31
💡

What Happened

Jonathan Martinez's 4-fight experience advantage (12 vs 8 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jonathan Martinez for the expected result. Had Said Nurmagomedov pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +21Said Nurmagomedov: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 1241 083
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +37Said Nurmagomedov: -37

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 3991 287
ELO Change+37-37
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What Happened

Jonathan Martinez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +23Said Nurmagomedov: -23

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Significant Strikes Landed3847
Significant Strikes Attempted5578
Total Strikes Landed78101
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 3291 311
ELO Change+23-23
💡

What Happened

Said Nurmagomedov controlled the striking through superior volume (101 vs 78 total strikes), solid significant strike edge (47 vs 38). However, since Said Nurmagomedov lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Jonathan Martinez's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +24Said Nurmagomedov: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Takedowns Landed03
Takedowns Attempted19
Ground Control Time6:094:21
Ground Strikes Landed34
Ground ELO1 2361 182
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Jonathan Martinez did not secure a significant ground advantage against Said Nurmagomedov on the ground with 0 takedowns, 6:09 of control time, 3 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +28Said Nurmagomedov: -14

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Days Since Last Fight14884
Activity ELO1 2951 129
ELO Change+28-14
💡

What Happened

Jonathan Martinez demonstrated solid activity levels with 148 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Jonathan Martinez capitalized on this activity level, while Said Nurmagomedov's 84-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +39Said Nurmagomedov: -20

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Win Streak50
Win Streak ELO1 1781 110
ELO Change+39-20
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What Happened

Jonathan Martinez continued building serious momentum with a 5-fight win streak, earning a strong bonus as streak bonuses escalate. Said Nurmagomedov's now at 0.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +21Said Nurmagomedov: -21

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezSaid Nurmagomedov
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 1231 083
ELO Change+21-21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.