Jonathan Martinez vs Vince Morales

May 20, 2022

Bantamweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1148
(+26)
Jonathan Martinez
Winner: Jonathan Martinez
Decision - Unanimous
Round 3 • 5:00

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jonathan Martinez+26
Vince Morales-21
1018
(-21)
Vince Morales

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +25Vince Morales: -25

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezVince Morales
Total UFC Fights107
Experience Gap3-3
Experience ELO1 1621 037
ELO Change+25-25
💡

What Happened

Jonathan Martinez's 3-fight experience advantage (10 vs 7 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Jonathan Martinez for the expected result. Had Vince Morales pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +18Vince Morales: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezVince Morales
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO1 081991
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +31Vince Morales: -31

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezVince Morales
Fight OutcomeDecision - UnanimousDecision - Unanimous
Last Round33
Time of Finish5:005:00
Win Type ELO1 2471 091
ELO Change+31-31
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What Happened

Jonathan Martinez earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +26Vince Morales: -26

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezVince Morales
Significant Strikes Landed8851
Significant Strikes Attempted154153
Total Strikes Landed8862
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 1311 004
ELO Change+26-26
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What Happened

Jonathan Martinez controlled the striking exchanges with 88 vs 62 total strikes, 88 vs 51 significant strikes, 57.1% vs 33.3% accuracy. Jonathan Martinez capitalized on this striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +24Vince Morales: -24

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezVince Morales
Takedowns Landed20
Takedowns Attempted20
Ground Control Time0:410:14
Ground Strikes Landed01
Ground ELO1 150988
ELO Change+24-24
💡

What Happened

Jonathan Martinez edged out Vince Morales on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 0:41 of control time, earning solid ground ELO bonuses.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +40Vince Morales: -13

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezVince Morales
Days Since Last Fight84168
Activity ELO1 2231 038
ELO Change+40-13
💡

What Happened

Jonathan Martinez demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 84 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Jonathan Martinez capitalized on this activity level, while Vince Morales's 168-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +22Vince Morales: -17

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezVince Morales
Win Streak30
Win Streak ELO1 1061 003
ELO Change+22-17
💡

What Happened

Jonathan Martinez extended his 3-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Vince Morales is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jonathan Martinez: +18Vince Morales: -18

Performance Statistics

MetricJonathan MartinezVince Morales
Weight ClassBantamweightBantamweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO1 080991
ELO Change+18-18
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.