October 12, 2024
Featherweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonathan Pearce | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 9 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | 1 | -1 |
| Experience ELO | 1 085 | 1 141 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +35 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (9 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jonathan Pearce | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 1 020 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonathan Pearce | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Submission | Submission |
| Last Round | 1 | 1 |
| Time of Finish | 4:06 | 4:06 |
| Win Type ELO | 1 150 | 1 217 |
| ELO Change | -50 | +82 |
Pat Sabatini earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 4:06, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.
| Metric | Jonathan Pearce | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 2 | 3 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 2 | 5 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 32 | 19 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 1 075 | 1 027 |
| ELO Change | -35 | +35 |
Jonathan Pearce controlled the striking through superior accuracy (100.0% vs 60.0%). However, since Jonathan Pearce lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Pat Sabatini's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonathan Pearce | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 0 | 2 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 0 | 3 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:00 | 3:56 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 0 | 1 |
| Ground ELO | 1 094 | 1 379 |
| ELO Change | -168 | +168 |
Pat Sabatini dominated Jonathan Pearce on the ground with 2 vs 0 takedowns, 3:56 of control time, 1 ground strike, earning massive ground ELO bonuses. The submission finish significantly amplified the grappling rewards.
| Metric | Jonathan Pearce | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 169 | 337 |
| Activity ELO | 1 094 | 1 132 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
Pat Sabatini demonstrated standard activity with 337 days since his last fight, earning no activity bonus. As the winner, Pat Sabatini capitalized on this activity level, while Jonathan Pearce's 169-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonathan Pearce | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 1 062 | 1 091 |
| ELO Change | -22 | +24 |
Pat Sabatini started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonathan Pearce is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jonathan Pearce | Pat Sabatini |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Featherweight | Featherweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 1 020 | 1 069 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.