May 8, 2015
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 1 | 8 |
| Experience Gap | -7 | 7 |
| Experience ELO | 967 | 1 015 |
| ELO Change | -33 | +33 |
Kyle Noke's 7-fight experience advantage (8 vs 1 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Kyle Noke for the expected result. Had Jonavin Webb pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 980 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Split | Decision - Split |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 994 | 1 164 |
| ELO Change | -6 | +6 |
The controversial Decision - Split reflected a closely contested battle, with Kyle Noke receiving reduced bonuses due to the lack of clear domination.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 23 | 31 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 67 | 82 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 33 | 44 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 1 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 984 | 1 191 |
| ELO Change | -16 | +16 |
Kyle Noke edged the striking exchanges with 31 vs 23 significant strikes. Kyle Noke capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 2 | 0 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 0 |
| Ground Control Time | 3:00 | 2:05 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 9 |
| Ground ELO | 980 | 1 093 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
Kyle Noke did not secure a significant ground advantage against Jonavin Webb on the ground with 0 takedowns, 2:05 of control time, 9 ground strikes, with almost no grappling bonus.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | N/A | 388 |
| Activity ELO | 983 | 1 090 |
| ELO Change | -17 | +15 |
Kyle Noke demonstrated extended layoff with 388 days since his last fight, earning reduced bonuses due to inactivity rust. As the winner, Kyle Noke capitalized on this activity level, while Jonavin Webb's null-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 981 | 1 049 |
| ELO Change | -19 | +21 |
Kyle Noke started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonavin Webb is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Kyle Noke |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 980 | 1 034 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +20 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

