February 20, 2016
Welterweight Bout
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Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Nathan Coy |
|---|---|---|
| Total UFC Fights | 2 | 2 |
| Experience Gap | 0 | 0 |
| Experience ELO | 947 | 1 009 |
| ELO Change | -20 | +30 |
Both fighters entered with identical experience levels (2 fights each). On this fight, close to zero experience-based adjustments were applied.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Nathan Coy |
|---|---|---|
| Title Fight ? | No | No |
| Title Fight ELO | 959 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Nathan Coy |
|---|---|---|
| Fight Outcome | Decision - Unanimous | Decision - Unanimous |
| Last Round | 3 | 3 |
| Time of Finish | 5:00 | 5:00 |
| Win Type ELO | 948 | 1 004 |
| ELO Change | -46 | +46 |
Nathan Coy earned a clear Decision - Unanimous, receiving full decision bonuses for controlling the fight across all rounds. Of course, a finish would have yielded even greater rewards.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Nathan Coy |
|---|---|---|
| Significant Strikes Landed | 21 | 37 |
| Significant Strikes Attempted | 77 | 112 |
| Total Strikes Landed | 36 | 71 |
| Knockdowns Scored | 0 | 0 |
| Striking ELO | 945 | 1 018 |
| ELO Change | -39 | +39 |
Nathan Coy controlled the striking exchanges with 71 vs 36 total strikes, 37 vs 21 significant strikes. Nathan Coy capitalized on this striking dominance.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Nathan Coy |
|---|---|---|
| Takedowns Landed | 3 | 3 |
| Takedowns Attempted | 8 | 5 |
| Ground Control Time | 0:34 | 7:20 |
| Ground Strikes Landed | 2 | 18 |
| Ground ELO | 891 | 1 047 |
| ELO Change | -89 | +89 |
Nathan Coy dominated Jonavin Webb on the ground with 3 takedowns, 7:20 of control time, 18 ground strikes, earning massive ground ELO bonuses.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Nathan Coy |
|---|---|---|
| Days Since Last Fight | 289 | 73 |
| Activity ELO | 962 | 1 043 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +64 |
Nathan Coy demonstrated excellent fighting frequency with 73 days since his last fight, earning a solid activity bonus for maintaining rhythm. As the winner, Nathan Coy capitalized on this activity level, while Jonavin Webb's 289-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Nathan Coy |
|---|---|---|
| Win Streak | 0 | 1 |
| Win Streak ELO | 960 | 1 002 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +23 |
Nathan Coy started a new win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jonavin Webb is back at 0 with this loss.
| Metric | Jonavin Webb | Nathan Coy |
|---|---|---|
| Weight Class | Welterweight | Welterweight |
| Double Championship Fight | No | No |
| Basic/Category ELO | 959 | 1 000 |
| ELO Change | -21 | +21 |
This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.

