Jordan Espinosa vs Matt Schnell

August 2, 2019

Flyweight Bout

Click any category to learn how it's calculated.

1007
(-27)
Jordan Espinosa
Winner: Matt Schnell
Submission
Round 1 • 1:23

No Predictions Available

Predictions and betting recommendations are only available for fights after July 10, 2025

C-ELO Evolution

Jordan Espinosa-27
Matt Schnell+34
1074
(+34)
Matt Schnell

C-ELO™ Evolution Comparison

Fight Stats & ELO Performance

Experience ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Espinosa: -32Matt Schnell: +32

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan EspinosaMatt Schnell
Total UFC Fights26
Experience Gap-44
Experience ELO1 0351 097
ELO Change-32+32
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What Happened

Matt Schnell's 4-fight experience advantage (6 vs 2 fights) held true, but the algorithm limited the bonus to prevent over-rewarding Matt Schnell for the expected result. Had Jordan Espinosa pulled off the upset, his experience disadvantage would have delivered a modest upset bonus.

Title Fight ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Espinosa: -21Matt Schnell: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan EspinosaMatt Schnell
Title Fight ?NoNo
Title Fight ELO9991 049
ELO Change-21+21
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What Happened

This was not a title fight, so both fighters received standard ELO adjustments. However, since ELO is a relative system, victories over former champions can have an indirect impact, and Title Fight ELO can differ from Basic ELO.

Win Type ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Espinosa: -36Matt Schnell: +68

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan EspinosaMatt Schnell
Fight OutcomeSubmissionSubmission
Last Round11
Time of Finish1:231:23
Win Type ELO1 0061 160
ELO Change-36+68
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What Happened

Matt Schnell earned an early finish with a Submission in round 1 at 1:23, gaining additional bonuses for the first-round submission.

Striking ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Espinosa: -24Matt Schnell: +24

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan EspinosaMatt Schnell
Significant Strikes Landed53
Significant Strikes Attempted612
Total Strikes Landed53
Knockdowns Scored00
Striking ELO1 0211 011
ELO Change-24+24
💡

What Happened

Jordan Espinosa controlled the striking through superior accuracy (83.3% vs 25.0%). However, since Jordan Espinosa lost the overall fight, his striking superiority couldn't be converted into ELO bonuses. Matt Schnell's positive striking ELO reflects the overall victory rather than striking dominance.

Ground ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Espinosa: -44Matt Schnell: +44

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan EspinosaMatt Schnell
Takedowns Landed00
Takedowns Attempted10
Ground Control Time0:250:00
Ground Strikes Landed00
Ground ELO9881 057
ELO Change-44+44
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What Happened

Minimal ground action with brief exchanges. The low volume resulted in modest ground adjustments.

Activity ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Espinosa: -19Matt Schnell: +37

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan EspinosaMatt Schnell
Days Since Last Fight133147
Activity ELO1 0031 098
ELO Change-19+37
💡

What Happened

Matt Schnell demonstrated solid activity levels with 147 days since his last fight, earning a moderate activity bonus for consistent scheduling. As the winner, Matt Schnell capitalized on this activity level, while Jordan Espinosa's 133-day layoff didn't factor into the scoring since only winners receive activity bonuses.

Win Streak ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Espinosa: -20Matt Schnell: +27

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan EspinosaMatt Schnell
Win Streak04
Win Streak ELO1 0031 073
ELO Change-20+27
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What Happened

Matt Schnell extended his 4-fight win streak, earning a momentum bonus. Jordan Espinosa is back at 0 with this loss.

Basic/Category ELO
ELO Changes
Jordan Espinosa: -21Matt Schnell: +21

Performance Statistics

MetricJordan EspinosaMatt Schnell
Weight ClassFlyweightFlyweight
Double Championship FightNoNo
Basic/Category ELO9991 049
ELO Change-21+21
💡

What Happened

This category provides the foundation ELO scoring without bonuses, except for exceptional multiple division champions.